Jefferies raises COPT stock to Buy, citing annual growth rate

On Wednesday, Jefferies issued an upgrade for COPT Defense Properties (NYSE:CDP), changing its rating from Hold to Buy, and increasing the price target to $28.00 from the previous $26.00. The firm underscored a more apparent path to the company’s projected 4% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in funds from operations (FFO) per share through 2026, following the guidance provided on February 8. Jefferies believes that this growth trajectory has not yet been factored into the consensus estimates or the stock’s trading multiple.

The analyst from Jefferies indicated that the current consensus falls short of the midpoint for the company’s 2024 guidance, which presents an opportunity for COPT Defense Properties to outperform expectations and potentially initiate a positive revision cycle. This scenario, according to the firm, could contribute to a re-rating of the stock, which currently trades on par with traditional office space stocks.

Additionally, the firm anticipates that an acceleration in development could offer further upside for COPT Defense Properties. This potential is not yet incorporated into the base case or consensus expectations. Jefferies suggests that the market has not fully recognized the growth prospects of COPT Defense Properties, which could lead to future performance that surpasses the current market estimates.

The investment firm’s commentary highlights the clearer visibility of the company’s growth path, which is anticipated to drive a “beat-and-raise” narrative. This refers to the possibility that COPT Defense Properties may consistently report financial results that exceed analysts’ expectations and raise future earnings guidance, a trend that can positively influence investor sentiment and stock valuation.

In conclusion, Jefferies’ upgrade to Buy reflects a positive outlook for COPT Defense Properties, with the firm setting a price target that suggests confidence in the company’s future financial performance and potential for stock appreciation.

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