Mortgage rates dip lower on positive inflation news, hold at near 7%: Freddie Mac

Mortgage rates topped 7% again this week, but April inflation numbers are a promising step toward relief, according to Freddie Mac.

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 7.02% for the week ending May 16, according to Freddie Mac’s latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey. That’s a drop from the previous week when it averaged 7.09% but still up from 6.39% a year ago. 

The average rate for a 15-year mortgage was 6.28%, down from 6.38% last week and up from 5.75% last year. 

April’s inflation figures released on Wednesday showed a slowdown in consumer prices. On an annual basis, prices rose 3.4% in April, a slight softening from the 3.5% growth last month and in line with expectations. 

On a monthly basis, prices increased 0.3% after rising 0.4% the previous month and registering below the 0.4% growth economists projected. The progress puts to rest concerns over a reignition of inflation and how the Federal Reserve might react. It also reaffirms the central bank’s narrative that cuts in interest rates will happen this year, which could help stabilize mortgage costs.  

“Mortgage rates decreased for the second consecutive week,” Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist Sam Khater said. “Given the news that inflation eased slightly, the 10-year Treasury yield dipped, leading to lower mortgage rates. The decrease in rates, albeit small, may provide a bit more wiggle room in the budgets of prospective homebuyers.”

If you are ready to shop for the best rate on a new mortgage, consider visiting an online marketplace like Credible to compare rates and get preapproved with multiple lenders at once.

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The size of your down payment matters

The average mortgage rate for new origination in the first quarter of 2024 was roughly three percentage points more than the average outstanding rate during the same period, Realtor.com said in a statement. These affordability constraints have left many buyers out in the cold. 

Buyers still in the market are paying bigger down payments to lower overall borrowing costs. They tend to be either higher earners or use their existing home equity, creating yet another affordability hurdle for first-time buyers. 

In the first quarter of 2024, down payments reached an average of 13.6% and a median of $26,000, according to a realtor.com report. While the values are below the third quarter 2023 peak of 14.7%, down payments remain well above the typical 10% buyers saved for before the COVID-19 pandemic. 

“The combination of soaring housing prices and elevated mortgage rates persists, presenting significant hurdles for aspiring first-time homebuyers who may lack the equity to leverage,” Realtor.com Economist Jiayi Xu said. “Thankfully, there’s a glimmer of relief as the median asking rent has seen a decline for eight consecutive months, providing a ray of hope for these prospective buyers to save more money for their first homes.”

One way to use your home’s equity is through a cash-out refinance to help you pay down debt or fund home improvement projects. Visit Credible to find your personalized interest rate without affecting your credit score. 

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More affordable housing initiatives underway

President Biden has called on Congress to invest more than $175 billion in affordable housing initiatives, according to a recent White House statement.

The administration has proposed using some funds to build and maintain millions of affordable homes for rent and ownership, such as accessory dwelling units and manufactured housing, and to incentivize state and local governments to reduce barriers to affordable housing development. 

The Biden administration has also proposed a new Neighborhood Homes Tax Credit. The proposed federal initiative would enable better affordability for home buyers by injecting $16 billion to add more housing stock to the market and $10.1 billion for down payment assistance. The tax credit would be provided on the condition that low- or middle-income homeowners occupy the home.

Biden has also called on Congress to create legislation giving a $10,000 tax credit to first-time homebuyers and those who sell their starter homes. The credit would be spread over two years and credited as $400 monthly payments. 

The tax credit would be equivalent to reducing the median home’s mortgage rate by 1.5 percentage points over two years. Over the next two years, it could help more than 3.5 million middle-class families purchase their first home. Expanding the credit to those who buy their second home could also help improve the housing supply for those in the starter home market.

If you’re looking to become a homeowner, you could still find the best mortgage rates by shopping around. Visit Credible to compare your options without affecting your credit score.

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