NetEase has 80% chance of rising over the next 60 days – Morgan Stanley

NetEase (NASDAQ:) shares are down more than 20% Friday, but analysts at Morgan Stanley are confident the stock will rise over the next two months, issuing a tactical idea call on the company’s shares in a note.

NTES tumbled after authorities in China unveiled more regulations aimed at curbing player spending on online gaming.

However, Morgan Stanley’s analysts “believe the share price will rise in absolute terms over the next 60 days.”

“This is because the stock has traded off recently, making short-term valuation much more compelling,” explained the bank. “We think the new online games consultation paper in China will have minimal revenue impact on NetEase.”

“NetEase has strong game pipeline in the near term and for 2024, including Where Winds Meet, Condor Heroes, Mission Zero, Once Human, etc,” they added. “The stock is trading at 9-10x 2024E on our estimate (15% game revenue and 20% operating profit growth in 2024E).”

Morgan Stanley estimates there is “about a 70% to 80% (or “very likely”) probability” that the stock will rise over the next 60 days. The bank currently has a $150 price target and an Overweight rating on NTES.